Sunday, January 04, 2015

Predictions: Kevin Drum

Kevin has predictions for 2015 and beyond - mostly way beyond. Number one on his list:

AI and robotics will continue to improve rapidly. We'll have useful AI by 2025 and full AI by 2045. This will either transform the world or destroy it. Flip a coin. However, regardless of how the end point turns out, the transition period is going to be pretty brutal for the 90 percent of the population that occupies the middle classes and below. Note that this prediction is #1 on my list for a reason. The rest are randomly placed.

I suspect that some of his predictions (maybe not that one) will come true a lot sooner than he thinks.